Hes followed by Scottie Scheffler with a 7.69% implied probability and then Xander Schauffele at 5.58%. Play with friends. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! Sleeper pick: Seamus Power, +10,000. Timely putting has been the tangible product of his upturn, but it was laser-like iron play that set the stage for a T19 at PGA National in 2021. The West Coast Swing on the PGA Tour will conclude this week, and it may have saved the best for last. Hes made nine of 10 cuts at this tournament, including two top 10s. Lifestyle . Hes also 6-for-8 on the PGA TOUR, including a 3-for-4 in the majors. Visit BetMGM.com for Terms and Conditions and other state-specific responsible gaming resources. Where: Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge, Orlando, Florida. And with back-to-back T3 finishes heading into the PGA, hes peaking at the right time. All promotions are subject to eligibility requirements. 19 Billy Horschel, and No. The entire $6krange in the screenshot above will be going off in the morning after some mediocre golf so far. As for props, McIlroy has been on fire of late, and Harman came out 14th in my model, providing solid value. With three wins and a runner-up in a span of six weeks late in 2021, he was the Order of Merit leader on the All Thailand Golf Tour. Hes also gone 10 straight events worldwide without finishing lower than T-8. And if youre feeling frisky, the most recent of his 83 career top 10s was right here in 2021. The expert finished the 2021-22 season up 42 units on his outrights, including a monster 250-1 payout on Hudson Swafford at The American Express. 1-800-547-6133 (WA). All three of these golfers provide the upside that can be found in the $10k range, at a price and ownership discount (excluding Cantlay's ownership). His. The PGA Tour heads west this week for the 2023 Genesis Invitational at Riviera Country Club in Southern California. Scott has had a ton of success at Riviera. McClure is a DFS legend with nearly $2 million in career winnings, and he's been RED-HOT on his PGA picks dating back to the PGA Tour restart in June of 2020. Chirp is a new golf-gaming platform that allows users to place live bets using fake money to win amazing, real-life prizes. Byron Lindeque - Keegan Bradley 6. Each lineup consists. Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. In this article, we are going to break down the previous round's top performers and duds and use that information to derive a player pool full of upside and leverage. Is Brooks Koepka fully healthy? Ill stop typing for a second to hear the sound of a million mice clicking away. It propelled him into the bubble for a special exemption at Southern Hills. There were some concerns about his back after he withdrew from the Sentry Tournament of Champions, but he finished T-3 at The American Express and T-13 at the Farmers Insurance Open. But he still might be the best player in the game. Top 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational expert picks One shocking pick from McDonald: He is fading Thomas in his first appearance at Bay Hill since 2015. After most of the top players did not play in last weeks Honda Classic, they are back this week for the Arnold Palmer Invitational from Arnold Palmers Bay Hill Club & Lodge just outside Orlando. OK, so thats a lot of animals and a tenuous connection to the free-spirited 33-year-old who has set the snail loose on occasion but is unlikely to make an appearance if his owner remains consistent at PGA National, home of, naturally, The Bear Trap, which has revealed a softer underbelly when Hubbard has appeared. To-win: Daniel Berger, +3,000. Editor's Note: In addition to PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf, fans can also participate in the PGA Championship's fantasy game this week and win merchandise from Southern Hills. OK, lets continue. Expect him to do so tomorrow. 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The Chicagoland native has been playing fantasy golf since 1994, so he was just waiting for the Internet to catch up with him. Highest-Owned Golfers. The events winner has typically come from the second tier on the odds board, as long shots havent had much success. Going into Round 3 . Over the last three years, Max Homa has developed into a force at weekly PGA TOUR events. See who he is backing at SportsLine. About; Careers . It is a designated event, which means a star-studded field, including world No. Bonus bets expire 7 days from issuance. He also leads in par-5 scoring, par breakers and scrambling. Below are some players to target when golf betting, followed by my betting card for the week. Sometimes these guys need a little tweak in their routine to focus them in. You can too! 1-800-547-6133 (WA). He also has eight straight top-10 finishes in events worldwide. Arnold Palmer Invitational Field. That was the first event worldwide since last summer in which the No. Jon Rahm (+750) has the best odds to win. TV Broadcast: GOLFTV. This is way down the odds board, but Bezuidenhout has thrived on Bermuda greens and has finished in the top 20 at this event each of the last three years. If the name rings a bell, its probably because youve been an avid PGA TOUR fan long enough to remember when he was the youngest member at the age of 20 in 2011. With windy conditions over the weekend a year ago, Scottie Scheffler won the event at 5-under and only 10 players finished the tournament under par. Jason Day is playing much better golf lately and now that he has made the cut maybe he can play a little more freely and start rolling in the putts we have seen him make over the last few weeks. Its been exactly one year since his last victory and he just turned 26. Going into the week, Jon Rahm (+750) has the best odds to win, followed by Rory McIlroy (+800). 1 Jon Rahm, who has already won two of three designated events this year. I went back and forth between going all in on Finau or Max Homa but ultimately went with Finau on a coin-flip decision. Tiger Woods, Bryson DeChambeau, and Rory McIlroy have won, but so have shorter hitters like Francesco Molinari and Matt Every. As a result, players will not hit as many fairways as they are used to this week, which will place an emphasis on scrambling and avoiding bogeys. New Customer Offer (if applicable). Copyright 2023 PGA TOUR, Inc. All rights reserved. Kickoff is Saturday at 7 p.m. For a player of his caliber, +8000 is tremendous value. The PGA Championship is a completely different beast, but I have a weird feeling hes going to contend in his first major. One of these golfers "has been experiencing a massive resurgence," the expert says, and this course is right up his alley. That includes going 2-for-2 in the set last year. To-win: Matthew Fitzpatrick, +6,000. A T21 at home followed two weeks later. You can go down whatever rabbit hole you find and youre unlikely to surface video of a snail taming a bear, much less a story of an encounter. Homa is becoming one of the best players on Tour; he already has two wins during the 2022-23 season. McClure uses his proprietary simulation model to analyze the field and crush his golf picks.. McClure's model predicted Jon Rahm would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. 12 and Morikawa was No. Ian provides analysis and an introductory guide to golf live betting on the PGA Tour by making selections both before and during the 2023 Arnold Palmer . To-win: Xander Schauffele, +1,700. Horschel is one of the streakiest players on the PGA Tour, as when hes on top of his game, he can compete with anyone. Gambling problem? Shane Lowryis the first Irishman we look to roster heavily as he has a fantastic around-the-green game and is comfortable in the wind. Scottie Scheffler has the next best odds to win with a 10% implied probability. AZ, CO, DC, IA, IL, IN, KS, LA, MD, MI, MS, NJ, NV, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, WA, WV, or WY. 1-800-547-6133 (WA). Expert Picks THE TOUR. The $20 million purse has brought out the best, with major champions like Collin Morikawa, Justin Thomas, Jordan Spieth and Matt Fitzpatrick among the many stars. They may lay off the water going forward which will make the afternoon much drier and crusty, resulting in scoring being a little more difficult for the afternoon wave. 1. The expert also just missed a massive 130-1 score at the Sony Open when Hayden Buckley finished as runner-up. May 25, 2022 9:00 am ET. McIlroy is coming off a disappointing T-32 finish at the. After missing last fall due to a back injury, he has put the rust behind him as he finished fourth in his last start at the Genesis Invitational. Power has had some very strong finishes this year, including a top 10 at the recent PGA Championship. 6-keys: media/spln/golf/reg/free/stories, at He's made nine of 10 cuts at this tournament, including two top 10s. End of the Season Totals: @rotoballer @BettorGolfPod 2017 +54.26 Units2018 +55.88 Units2019 +27.743 Units2020 + 37.015 Units2021 + 68.846 Units2022 +67.485 UnitsTotal Winnings: +311.229 UnitsTotal Outright Wins Since 2017: 36 H2H Totals Inside Thread https://t.co/pNQrSK1rFE. You can view live odds from the first round through the final round. He is up more than 20 units this season, meaning a profit of over $2,000 for $100 bettors. 19+ in Ontario. Jon Rahm is predicted to win WM Phoenix Open with an 11.76% implied probability, according to betting markets. Since 2020, hes 3-for-3 with two top 15s and a scoring average of exactly 70. FanDuel Strategy Nuances (PGA DFS) 2. See the full Puerto Rico Open 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here.. Nate Lashley 16-1 Ben Martin 20-1 Brandon Harkins 22-1 So, yeah, that counts, but Higgo stays entirely on that side of the ball. Ill stop typing for a second to relax my tiny neck as it struggles to hold my giant head. Try these Birdie Juice-flavored tee picks, Quench your thirst on or off the course with this spiked beverage, What it's like playing the new Fields Ranch East (a likely future Ryder Cup venue), Shriners Children's Open picks: 4 bets we love this week in Las Vegas, Sanderson Farms Championship picks: 4 bets we love this week in Mississippi, Sanderson Farms Championship odds: Presidents Cuppers among betting favorites this week, Need help computing (and paying!) The small tweaks he made in his swing are paying dividends, and with the championship contested at the windblown Kiawah Resort, I like the shot-making Texans chances to hoist the Wanamaker Trophy come Sunday. Theres no question Rahm is the hottest player in the field, with three wins on the PGA Tour already this season, including two designated events. The 33-year-old was able to break through for his first career win last year and was in the mix for the Presidents Cup team, yet oddsmakers rarely include him with the other top golfers. Think of it as a traffic light with four colors. Theegala burst onto the scene a year ago at this event with a T-3 in his tournament debut. Scottie Schefflermade a massive move up the leaderboard last year on Saturday and that is validated by the incredible round 3 scoring average which is the 2nd best on the slate. Ancer will get his first PGA Tour win in 2021 why not at a major? I like a gritty player with a strong short game to win this week, so Patrick Reed immediately grabs my attention. Emilliano Grillo has been hot and cold in both rounds he has played so far. But, to score well, players must be on top of their ball striking and scramble well to avoid bogeys. WM Phoenix Open Betting Card & Other Predictions Patrick Cantlay Outright Win +2000 Finau is also playing outstanding golf of late. The American Express Sleepers Tom Hoge +4000 Odds to Win Hoge is one of the most underrated players on the PGA Tour. Historically, these have been some of the easiest greens of the year to putt on. Sadom Kaewkanjana(+550 for a Top 40) Youre familiar with his fellow countrymen, Jazz Janewattananond and PGA TOUR member Kiradech Aphibarnrat, but this 23-year-old currently is Thailands top talent at 118th in the Official World Golf Ranking. ). He popped for a solo third in Mississippi in the fall and has added a pair of top 20s in the last four weeks. You can find me on Twitter an unhealthy amount of the time @TheModelManiac, if you have any questions, compliments, or insults for me. Does his best work with his putter. I really like the value for all three outright plays. Hes a perfect sleeper this week! A golfer's guide to making amazing old fashioneds, Love transfusion cocktails? The contest at FDU's Stratis Arena in Teaneck will tip off at 8 p.m. Copyright 2023 PGA TOUR, Inc. All rights reserved. DFS pro with almost $2M in winnings gives Masters DFS advice for tournaments like the DraftKings Millionaire Maker I dont think hes a sleeper, but the odds say he is. Maybe better, if were being totally honest. Sports betting is void in Georgia, Hawaii, and Utah and other states where prohibited. So there's precedent there for no-cut events. Dean Burmester(+275 for a Top 40) The very recent winner of the PGA Championship OK, so it was the tournament of the same name on the Sunshine Tour in November, but its not wrong and no one ever can take it away from him the 32-year-old representing South Africa has eight wins on his home circuit. The Ocean Course is long, difficult and a windy place to play golf, but its a course that fits Leishman well. Rory McIlroy Top 5 Finish + 210 At PointsBet. Below are the power rankings of the golfers who we have our eye on for Round 3. Notice the amount of green AM tee times. Aaron Baddeley intrigues me as his short game is really impressive and a few long puts or chip-ins can grab him a bunch of points. He finished inside the top 10 at this event three of the last four years. Before locking in your 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational one and done picks, you need to see what SportsLine DFS pro and PGA expert Mike McClure has to say. Win Big With RotoBaller 6. Rory McIlroy has the next best odds to win with a 9.52% implied probability. Zach Johnson None of the 46-year-olds 12 PGA TOUR victories were in Florida, and hes done more damage on other sites in the state than PGA National, but he still deserves attention as a potential threat in matchup scenarios. At just over 7,200 yards, the course is average by PGA Tour standards and doesnt favor the longer or shorter hitters. Hes second on Tour in Strokes Gained: Putting and is one of the best/craftiest players around the greens, too. Kevin Erickson March 4, 2023 8:42 am ET In a lightweight bout on the main card, Mateusz Gamrot takes on Jalin Turner Saturday at UFC 285 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. At the Farmers Insurance Open, McClure's top One and Done pick, Max Homa, outlasted the . Responsible sports betting starts with a game plan. You also get access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry. By Pat Mayo Jan 23, 2022, 5:58pm PST Share 2021: Patrick Reed -14 2020: Marc Leishman -15 2019: Justin Rose -21 Schauffele has always played well at majors, and this has a major-tournament feel. The 26-year-old from England took the title at the Soudal Open in Belgium on Sunday. Once again, Im relying heavily on my Fantasy National model. The tournament was already the most electric on the PGA Tour, and that bar will be raised even higher this week with more fans in attendance and it being a. . 23 of the top 25 players in the world will be in the Genesis Invitational field, with Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, and Scottie Scheffler headlining the group. , followed by my betting card for the week. Players who play well at this event typically replicate it year after year. The rough isnt very penalizing, but players must avoid strategically placed water hazards. It's always a high-class field that meets at Bay Hill for the Arnie P, and 2023 - with it's newly-minted elevated status - is no different. Below are some players to target when golf betting, followed by my betting card for the week. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: golf | pageType: stories | Despite its spot on the schedule, the Charles Schwab Challenge is boasting a solid field just a few days after the conclusion of the 104th PGA Championship. Expert Picks A Change Text Size Written by Staff @PGATOUR How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf. Winners have primarily come from the second tier in the odds board. Sitting a few shots back is EXACTLY where he feels most comfortable and hopefully the majority of ownership falls on Rory who had a great R2 and is the cheapest of the "Big 3". OK, so thats a lot of animals and a tenuous connection to the free-spirited 33-year-old who has set the snail loose on occasion but is unlikely to make an appearance if his owner remains consistent at PGA National, home of, naturally, The Bear Trap, which has revealed a softer underbelly when Hubbard has appeared. Before making any 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, be sure you check out the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from SportsLine golf insider Patrick McDonald. Hochberg: Collin Morikawa is 30-1. Another thing to keep in mind is the last six winners of the event all had at least one top-15 finish at a prior Arnold Palmer Invitational. Bonus bets expire 7 days from issuance. Rahm, a 10-time PGA Tour champion, is listed as the 7-1 favorite in the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds. Sleeper pick: Marc Leishman, +7,000. After spending time at FanSided and NBC Sports EDGE, McDonald joined CBS Sports as a golf writer in the spring of 2022. Odds were sourced on Tuesday, Feb. 21, 2023. To-win: Daniel Berger, +3,000. The new father secured his first win since November of 2019 at the Wells Fargo Championship last weekend, and he won the PGA Championship by eight (!) The general logic to showdown has been to target golfers who played well the day before and particularly those who hit their irons well. For just $0.83/month, get an ad-free experience and access to RotoBaller's VIP Discord Chat Community, If you can't subscribe, please consider turning off your adblocker for RotoBaller.com, Helps Nets To Big Comeback Victory With 38 Points, Scores Career-High 41 Points Against Portland, Keeps Point Streak Going With Two Assists, Jessie Bates III Not Expected Back In Cincinnati, No Movement On Leighton Vander Esch Talks, Browns Could Restructure Deshaun Watson's Contract, Cowboys Plan To Use Franchise Tag On Tony Pollard, Giants, Daniel Jones Making Progress In Talks, Jets Could Take A Quarterback In The Draft, Raiders Plan To Use Franchise Tag On Josh Jacobs, Yandy Diaz Likely Sidelined Into Next Week, A.J. The Korn Ferry trademark is also a registered trademark, and is used in the Korn Ferry Tour logo with permission. Chalk: a) A popular player who played okay yesterday, b) A less popular player who played well yesterday. Rai presents a similar profile in his return trip after a T66 well back of Strakas championship pace. Each lineup consists. CLICK HERE to learn more at HaveAGamePlan.org. Sure. Hes also 4-for-5 in 2023 with a T29 last week at Riviera where he flashed his game in a microcosm. As good as Morikawa is in so many. Bonus bets expire 7 days from issuance. Garrick Higgo might not be a familiar name to American fans, but the South African has been one of the hottest golfers in the world this spring. And with live golf betting, the action doesnt stop at the book when the action starts on the course. Play with trusted, licensed operators. PGA TOUR, PGA TOUR Champions, and the Swinging Golfer design are registered trademarks. After most of the top players did not play in last weeks. I still have faith the 20 Masters was the start of it, and it will pick up at the 21 PGA Championship. ). BetMGM is the premier online sportsbook for updated PGA Tour odds each season. Fantasy Golf Picks 2022 Farmers Insurance Open Picks, Predictions, Rankings and Sleepers Pat Mayo breaks down the 2022 Farmers Insurance Open, making his picks and rankings for the event while previewing the course and key stats. Spencer Aguiar - Will Zalatoris 5. When youre talented, youre talented. He won a major last year, but his game has shown a lot of cracks. To-win: Rory McIlroy, +1,150. 15-time major champion Tiger Woods will also be in the field and making his The Phoenix region will be the center of the sports world this week, with the Super Bowl at. GOLF.com and GOLF Magazine are published by EB GOLF MEDIA LLC, a division of 8AM GOLF. Round 2 Strategy. Set a budget. Hes been comfortable navigating the redwoods of the PGA TOUR with six paydays in 10 starts, including a career-best T26 at the 2021 U.S. Open at Torrey Pines where he ranked second in Strokes Gained: Approach-the Green and co-led in par-3 scoring. Follow Rob Bolton on Twitter. Since Flag Hunting formed at the start of the 2021-22 season, I've cashed a total of 14 outright tickets in 58 events (a nearly 25% hit rate) and profited nearly $12,000 from betting just $350 . McDonald takes a measured approach to his outright selections and is having a profitable 2022-23 season. The players who are most likely to have success this week are the ones who can position themselves well off the tee by working their golf ball in both directions and then scramble well around the greens. Jon Rahm +700Rory McIlroy +950Scottie Scheffler +1100Max Homa +1900Collin Morikawa +2100Justin Thomas +2300Xander Schauffele +2400Will Zalatoris +2400Tony Finau +2800Patrick Cantlay +2800Jason Day +3100Viktor Hovland +3100Tyrrell Hatton +3600Matthew Fitzpatrick +3600Sungjae Im +4100Jordan Spieth +4100Cameron Young +4600Sam Burns +4800Tom Kim +5000Sahith Theegala +5500Hideki Matsuyama +5500Keith Mitchell +5500Chris Kirk +6500Shane Lowry +6500Corey Conners +7000Tommy Fleetwood +7000Keegan Bradley +7500Adam Scott +8500Billy Horschel +8500Rickie Fowler +8500Justin Rose +9000Adam Hadwin +9000Seamus Power +9000Gary Woodland +9000Min Woo Lee +11000Luke List +11000Taylor Montgomery +11000Tom Hoge +12000Wyndham Clark +12000Christiaan Bezuidenhout +12000Aaron Wise +12000Alex Noren +12000Ryan Fox +13000Si Woo Kim +13000Lucas Herbert +14000Nick Taylor +14000Adrian Meronk +15000Thomas Detry +16000Russell Henley +16000Brian Harman +17000Beau Hossler +17000Sepp Straka +18000K.H. It certainly feels like hes close to claiming his first career victory, and this could be the place to do it. section: | slug: 2023-arnold-palmer-invitational-picks-predictions-field-odds-golf-expert-fading-justin-thomas-at-bay-hill | sport: golf | route: article_single.us | Riley Hamel. Meanwhile, Burns and Spieth were No. your golf bets? This article is going to take a look at showdown slates after each completed round. Now, McClure has dialed in on the 2023 Honda Classic golf tournament, and just locked in his one and done picks and PGA predictions. He shot -2 today and will look to carry that momentum into the weekend. In Ontario, if you have questions or concerns about your gambling or someone close to you, please contact ConnexOntario at 1-866-531-2600 to speak to an advisor, free of charge. Growing up a few miles from Riviera, its no surprise Homa is very comfortable at the course. Cantlay checks a lot of boxes this week, including losing in a playoff at the event last year to Scottie Scheffler. Leverage: A less popular player who played poorly yesterday. The 2022 Sentry Tournament of Champions is here, and we're back with our PGA Tour expert picks and betting tips for the tournament at Kapalua Resort in Hawaii. Bring on major victory No. One and Done Selections - The Arnold Palmer Invitational 2. PGA TOUR, PGA TOUR Champions, and the Swinging Golfer design are registered trademarks. 20 Shane Lowry - and eight in the top 50. Andrew. In nine starts this season, he has two top-25 finishes, with his best being a T-11 at The American Express. Ryan Hannable is a copy editor on the Web Content Team for BetMGM. But, as of Tuesday, winds are forecasted to be light. While every player in the field can most likely drive the green, it is very small and surrounded by multiple deep bunkers. BMW Championship picks 2022: Sleepers/Dark Horses who could win Caddie: Keegan Bradley (100-1, BetMGM) Keegs had it going the last time we were in the Mid-Atlantic at TPC Potomac, nearly winning. McClure has nailed plenty of One and Done picks, including Luke List at the Sentry Tournament of Champions. The very recent winner of the PGA Championship OK, so it was the tournament of the same name on the Sunshine Tour in November, but its not wrong and no one ever can take it away from him the 32-year-old representing South Africa has eight wins on his home circuit. Ryan Hannable is a copy editor on the Web Content Team for BetMGM. Pivots: a) A popular player who played poorly yesterday, b) A less popular player who played okay yesterday. He's an excellent ball striker, so if the wind picks up, that could be in his favor. None of those four players were inside the top 10 of my model, although Fitzpatrick was No. Mark Hubbard (+350 for a Top 20) You can go down whatever rabbit hole you find and youre unlikely to surface video of a snail taming a bear, much less a story of an encounter. High-Priced FanDuel DFS Plays 3. playing a difficult but fair golf course. That means the best players in the world will be competing for a $20 million purse. When: March 2 to 5, 2023. He had been sidelined for two-and-a-half months with an injured back before returning for a T18 (with Matt Wallace) at the Zurich Classic of New Orleans. First-bet offers not valid in Ohio.